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Switzerland vs Iceland Prediction 7 July 2025
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🔊 Could the Euro 2025 hosts bow out of the tournament after just two matches?In Bern, at the Stade de Suisse, the Swiss women's national team will face their fellow strugglers, the Finnish women's national team. Both teams suffered defeats in their opening matches and, under certain circumstances, could see their chances of advancing to the playoffs vanish even before the third round of the group stage. Before we present our insightful prediction, let's delve into the latest developments in both camps.

Head-to-Head

The last official match between these national teams took place on 09 April 2025 and ended in a 3-3 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Iceland Women were the home team):

  • possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
  • corner kicks: 6 vs 7;
  • fouls: 10 vs 11;
  • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
  • shots on target: 4 vs 8.

📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Switzerland (W) and Iceland (W):

  • 6 matches played;
  • home victories – 4, away victories – 0, draws – 2;
  • goals scored – 12 to 4;
  • average total goals in the 1st half – 1.17, in the 2nd half – 1.5;
  • average total goals per match – 2.67.

Switzerland (W) Team Overview

The team's last official match took place on during the first round of the European Championship (hosts - Switzerland (W), visitors - Norway (W)). The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.

Here are the match statistics (Switzerland (W) vs Norway (W)):

  • possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
  • corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
  • fouls: 8 vs 11;
  • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
  • shots on target: 7 vs 3.

🔴 The hosts of the tournament faced off against Norway in their opening match at St. Jakob-Park in Basel. The start of the game, as well as the entire first half, went quite well for Pia Sundhage's side: Nadine Riesen scored with a precise strike following a beautiful combination inside the box. The Swiss went into the break with a slender lead.

⚪ They were on the brink of securing their first Women's Euro victory since 2017, but everything changed abruptly in the second half. A mistake by goalkeeper Livia Peng during a set-piece allowed the Norwegians to equalize. Just four minutes later, defender Julia Stierli made a crucial error by deflecting a cross into her own net.

❌ The situation could have worsened when Norway earned a penalty in the 70th minute. Fortunately for the hosts, the ball went wide of the post. Nonetheless, the Swiss failed to capitalize on their opponents' missed opportunity and lost the match, despite having led (1-2). Now, if they lose to Finland, their chances of advancing to the playoffs will be virtually nil. Unfortunately for the team, its management, and fans, mistakes at this level are unforgiving.

Iceland (W) Team Overview

The visitors last took to the field on for the opening round of the European Championship, facing Iceland (W) away. The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline in favor of Finland (W).

Here are the game statistics (Iceland (W) vs Finland (W)):

  • possession: 45% vs 55%;
  • corners: 5 vs 6;
  • fouls: 8 vs 5;
  • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
  • shots on target: 4 vs 4.

🔵 Thorsteinn Halldórsson's national team fought for three points against Finland in their opening match. The first half resembled more of a scouting mission for the Icelandic side, with minimal threats on the opponent's goal. Crucially, they managed to keep a clean sheet until halftime.

⚪ However, things took a turn for the worse early in the second half. In the 52nd minute, central midfielder Hildur Antonssdóttir received her first yellow card, and just six minutes later, the referee showed no leniency, issuing her a second yellow for a reckless foul, leading to her dismissal from the pitch.

❌ With Iceland down to ten players, it became increasingly challenging to withstand the Finnish onslaught, and soon their defenses crumbled as Finland took the lead, breaking the deadlock: 0-1. Halldórsson's squad had nothing left to lose and, despite being a player down, they made efforts to equalize. Unfortunately, they couldn't find the back of the net, and the match ended in a narrow defeat for Iceland (0-1). To keep their playoff hopes alive, Iceland must secure a victory in their upcoming match against Switzerland.

Latest news

Switzerland (W)

🔝 Despite Switzerland's defeat, Géraldine Reuteler was named the Player of the Match against Norway. The award recipient shared her thoughts on the game: "It's hard to pinpoint why we lost. We played really well in the first half. Then, in the second half, we conceded two unnecessary goals in 12 minutes – that's really frustrating. I had a chance to equalize, and if I had, the game might have turned out differently. It's really disappointing."

🎙 Switzerland's head coach Pia Sundhage commented: "It was quite a good performance from us – how we attacked, played, and created chances. We didn't win because of set pieces and an own goal. Such a small detail, yet it makes the difference between success and failure. I'm very disappointed, but it's important to review the game tomorrow. There are many things to discuss – how to boost the confidence of the players, the team, and each individual. Then we'll focus on preparing for Iceland, who play very differently from Norway."

Iceland (W)

🎙 Iceland's head coach Thorsteinn Halldórsson in an interview: "This was a terrible defeat, we're disappointed, but that's the reality. We have a balanced group and we knew Finland were a strong team. However, we didn't play well enough in the first half. The second half was better, even though we played most of it with a man down. Under serious pressure, we played bravely and created many chances, but couldn't find the back of the net."

🎤 Iceland's captain Glódís Viggósdóttir also shared the team's mindset for the upcoming matches after their first-round loss: "We're incredibly disappointed. We were set on winning, but we didn't earn any points. However, our objectives haven't changed, and we can still achieve them. We need to recover quickly and be ready for the next games."

Outcome Prediction

Outcome Prediction

Head-to-Head:

  • Total encounters – 6;
  • Home wins – 4, Away wins – 0, Draws – 2.

Statistics: Switzerland (W) vs Iceland (W)

  • Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
  • Wins: 0 vs 0;
  • Win percentage: 0% vs 0%;
  • Losses: 1 vs 1;
  • Draws: 0 vs 0.

Last 10 Matches:

  • Wins: 2 vs 3;
  • Losses: 6 vs 3;
  • Draws: 2 vs 4.
  • Iceland (W) have covered a +1.5 handicap in 10 of their last 11 matches.
  • Iceland (W) have covered a +1.5 handicap in 8 of their last 9 away matches.

Total Goals Prediction

Head-to-Head

  • Average goals scored by home team - 2, by away team - 0.67;
  • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.67;
  • Both teams scored: overall - 2 times; at the home ground - 0 times.
  • Switzerland (W) have scored less than 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches.

Cards Prediction

Head-to-Head

  • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.66 (1.33 for home team and 1.33 for away team);
  • Average total yellow cards at home ground - 2 (1 for home team and 1 for away team).

Switzerland (W): Statistics

  • Season: average total in tournament - 1; at home - 1;
  • Last 10 matches: average total - 0.8; at home - 0.8.

Iceland (W): Statistics

  • Season: average total in tournament - 1, away - 0;
  • Last 10 matches: average total - 1.2; away - 1.5.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

Head-to-Head:

  • Total encounters – 6;
  • Both teams scored overall - 2 times;
  • At the home ground - 0 times.

Statistics: Switzerland (W) vs Iceland (W)

  • Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
  • Matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 0;
  • BTTS for Switzerland (W) at home – 1 (100%);
  • BTTS for Iceland (W) away – 0 (0%).

Last 10 Matches:

  • BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
  • BTTS for Switzerland (W) at home – 1 (20%);
  • BTTS for Iceland (W) away – 2 (50%).

Heading into this head-to-head encounter, Switzerland has at least managed to find the net, unlike Iceland, who have yet to score in the tournament. However, Iceland's defense has shown resilience, conceding only one goal while playing with a man down for most of the second half. Therefore, Iceland should not be underestimated. Nonetheless, the hosts appear to be the favorites in this matchup, and we don't anticipate them suffering a second consecutive defeat. We recommend considering a bet on Switzerland to win with a handicap (0).

⭐ Editorial Prediction

After both national teams suffered defeats in their opening matches, they are now focused on a single goal: to win. They find themselves in a similar situation—if one of the teams loses in their head-to-head clash and there's a draw in the parallel match between Norway and Finland, the losing side's chances of advancing to the playoffs will nearly vanish. More precise scenarios will become clearer after the second round, but for now, the main objective is at least not to lose the upcoming match.

Heading into this head-to-head encounter, Switzerland has at least managed to find the net, unlike Iceland, who have yet to score in the tournament. However, Iceland's defense has shown resilience, conceding only one goal while playing with a man down for most of the second half. Therefore, Iceland should not be underestimated. Nonetheless, the hosts appear to be the favorites in this matchup, and we don't anticipate them suffering a second consecutive defeat. We recommend considering a bet on Switzerland to win with a handicap (0).

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