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Norway vs Finland Prediction 7 July 2025
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🔊 Friends, were you expecting this? In the second round of Euro 2025, Group A leaders Norway and Finland will clash. It might come as a surprise to many, but one of these teams could secure a playoff spot based on the outcome of this head-to-head encounter. These opponents know each other well, having also competed in the same qualifying group for this tournament, where they finished at the bottom two spots. Both teams only made it to the finals through playoff matches. Norway are considered favorites, partly because they didn't lose to Finland in their qualifying meetings: they secured one win and drew the other match. So, what prediction does our editorial team have? Let's dive into it below, following an analysis of both teams' opening matches in the tournament.

Head-to-Head

📊 The teams have faced each other in three official matches. The statistics are as follows:

  • goals: 7 to 2;
  • average goals in the 1st half – 2, in the 2nd half – 1;
  • average total goals per match – 3.

Norway (W) Team Overview

The team's last official match took place on during the European Championship, Round 1 (hosts – Switzerland (W), visitors – Norway (W)). The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.

Here are the match statistics (Norway (W) vs Switzerland (W)):

  • possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
  • corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
  • fouls: 11 vs 8;
  • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
  • shots on target: 3 vs 7.

🔴 The "Grasshoppers" kicked off their Euro campaign with the opening match against the tournament hosts, Switzerland. In the first half, the Norwegian team struggled to handle the nerves and pressure of the local atmosphere. By the 28th minute, they conceded a goal to the Swiss and went into halftime trailing by a narrow margin.

Finland (W) Team Overview

The visitors played their last official match on during the European Championship, Round 1 (home team – Iceland (W), visitors – Finland (W)). The match concluded with a score of 0-1.

Here are the match statistics (Finland (W) vs Iceland (W)):

  • possession: 56% vs 44%;
  • corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
  • fouls: 5 vs 8;
  • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
  • shots on target: 4 vs 4.

⚪ In the opening round, Finland faced Iceland at the Stockholm Arena, entering the match as underdogs. However, that was only on paper—on the field, Marco Saloranta's squad controlled possession and posed more threats to their opponents' goal. Despite this, they couldn't break through Iceland's defense in the first half, and both teams headed into halftime with a goalless draw.

Latest news

Norway (W)

🎙 Norway's head coach, Gemma Grainger, admitted she was very disappointed with her team's first-half performance and was brutally honest with the players during the break: "I told them the effort wasn't good enough. We can't continue like this; we need more intensity and pace."

🎤 Captain Ada Hegerberg confirmed that the team had a serious discussion about their situation at halftime: "We realized we were just losing control and not winning duels. So, we made a few tactical adjustments."

Finland (W)

🔝 After delivering an impressive performance and scoring a stunning goal, Katariina Kosola was deservedly named the player of the match against Iceland.

🎤 Katariina Kosola: "I had a couple of chances before the break. I'm good at finishing and always aim to shoot a lot. The goal was one I've worked on extensively. The result is crucial for our confidence. We need to celebrate this and then shift our focus to the next match."

🎙 Finland's head coach Marko Saloranta: "It's been 16 years since Finland's women's team last tasted victory at a major tournament, when we won at the home EURO 2009. Since then, we've had EURO 2013 and EURO 2022 with no wins. I'm thrilled we started with three points."

Outcome Prediction

Outcome Prediction

Head-to-Head:

  • Number of encounters – 3;
  • Home team wins – 2, Away team wins – 0, Draws – 1.

Statistics: Norway (W) vs Finland (W)

  • Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
  • Wins: 1 vs 1;
  • Win percentage: 100% vs 100%;
  • Losses: 0 vs 0;
  • Draws: 0 vs 0.

Last 10 Matches:

  • Wins: 6 vs 6;
  • Losses: 2 vs 1;
  • Draws: 2 vs 3.
  • Finland (W) have covered a +1.5 handicap in 9 consecutive matches.

Total Goals Prediction

Head-to-Head

  • Home team average goals - 2.33, Away team - 0.67;
  • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3;
  • Both teams scored: overall - 2 times; at home ground - 0 times.
  • Norway (W) have scored under 2.5 goals in their last 7 matches.

Card Predictions

Norway (W): Statistics

  • Season: average total in the tournament - 1; at home - 0;
  • Last 10 matches: average total - 0.9; at home - 0.6.

Finland (W): Statistics

  • Season: average total in the tournament - 1, away - 1;
  • Last 10 matches: average total - 0.4; away - 0.4.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

Head-to-Head:

  • Number of encounters – 3;
  • Both teams scored overall - 2 times;
  • At the home team's ground - 0 times.

Statistics: Norway (W) vs Finland (W)

  • Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
  • Matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 0;
  • BTTS for Norway (W) at home – 0 (0%);
  • BTTS for Finland (W) away – 0 (0%).

Last 10 Matches:

  • BTTS matches: 3 vs 1;
  • BTTS for Norway (W) at home – 2 (40%);
  • BTTS for Finland (W) away – 0 (0%).

Editor's Prediction

The second round of matches in this group could significantly shape the playoff race. A win for either team could secure a spot in the knockout stage, provided there is no winner in the parallel clash between Switzerland and Iceland.
The head-to-head history between Norway and Finland favors the Norwegians, who have never lost to their opponents. We also see Norway as the favorites in this encounter; however, considering recent performances, we doubt their victory will be overwhelming: Norway has not scored more than two goals in their last eight matches. Meanwhile, Finland have avoided heavy defeats for nearly a year, last losing by a large margin on July 16, 2024, when they fell to Italy 0-4. Taking these factors into account, we suggest considering a bet on Finland to win with a +1.5 handicap.

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