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Netherlands vs Ukraine Prediction 19 June 2025
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📢 Can the Netherlands U21 team defeat Ukraine in the final round of the group stage at the UEFA European Under-21 Championship and advance to the playoffs? Both teams are in solid form, showcasing attacking football, though they lack consistency. The odds favor the nominal hosts, but the visitors are not willing to go down without a fight. The intrigue of the match lies in Ukraine's ability to challenge one of the tournament favorites.

Head-to-Head

📊Statistical preview of official meetings between Netherlands U21 and Ukraine U21:

  • 7 matches played;
  • nominal home team wins – 3, nominal away team wins – 2, draws – 2;
  • goals scored – 12 versus 9;
  • average total goals in the 1st half – 1, in the 2nd half – 0.71;
  • average total goals per match – 2.29.

Netherlands U21 Team Overview

The team's last official match took place on as part of the UEFA European Under-21 Championship, with the Netherlands U21 as the nominal hosts and Denmark U21 as the nominal visitors. The match concluded with a scoreline of 1-2.

Here are the match statistics (Netherlands U21 vs Denmark U21):

  • possession percentage: 62% vs 38%;
  • corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
  • fouls: 9 vs 12;
  • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
  • shots on target: 10 vs 3.

🟠 The Netherlands U21 team boasts a formidable attacking potential. In their last ten official matches, they have secured eight victories and suffered just one defeat. With an average of three goals per game, their offensive strength is evident. However, there has been a slight dip in form recently, as they have failed to win in their last two outings, recording one draw and one loss.

✅ The Dutch squad was regarded as one of the tournament's main contenders, featuring a strong lineup that includes flank defenders like Devyne Rensch (Roma) and Ian Maatsen (Aston Villa). However, after two rounds, the "Oranje" have just 1 point and now face the risk of missing out on the playoffs. In the second round, they were surprisingly defeated by Denmark 2-1, despite their misfortune: 10 shots on target, an xG of 2.91, and only one goal scored (an own goal).

Ukraine U21 Team Overview

The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the context of the UEFA European Under-21 Championship (nominal hosts were Finland U21, nominal visitors were Ukraine U21). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0-2.

The game statistics were as follows (Ukraine U21 vs Finland U21):

  • possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
  • corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
  • fouls: 16 vs 8;
  • yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
  • shots on target: 6 vs 1.

🟡 Ukraine U21 are known for their organized defense and ability to exploit opponents' weaknesses on the counterattack. The team holds the second spot in the standings due to the players' persistence and tactical discipline. Despite their inconsistency (five wins, four losses), their average goals scored highlight the attacking line's capabilities—two goals per game make them a threat to any defense.

✅ The Ukrainian national team bounced back after a disappointing match against Denmark (2-3) with a confident 2-0 victory over Finland, thus reviving their playoff hopes. From the outset, Ukraine took control of the ball and effectively stifled their opponents in the first half, allowing the Finns only two harmless shots. Midfielder Maksym Bragaru emerged as a key player once again, scoring in his second consecutive match and maintaining his high standards.

Prediction for the 1st half

First Half Statistics: Netherlands U21 (Home) vs Ukraine U21 (Away)

  • Number of matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
  • Number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
  • Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
  • Number of draws: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
  • Average total goals scored: 2 vs 1;
  • Average total goals conceded: 1 vs 0.

Last 10 Matches (Overall):

  • Number of wins: 7 vs 5;
  • Number of losses: 1 vs 2;
  • Number of draws: 2 vs 3;
  • Average first half total: 2.1 (scored – 1.6, conceded – 0.5) vs 1.1 (scored – 0.8, conceded – 0.3).
  • Netherlands U21 scored in the 1st half in 9 of last 10 games.
  • Netherlands U21 scored in the 1st half in last 6 home games.

Prediction on the outcome

H2H:

  • number of encounters – 7;
  • home team wins – 3, away team wins – 2, draws – 2.

Statistics: Netherlands U21 vs Ukraine U21

  • matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
  • wins: 0 vs 1;
  • win percentage: 0% vs 50%;
  • losses: 1 vs 1;
  • draws: 1 vs 0.

Last 10 matches:

  • wins: 8 vs 5;
  • losses: 1 vs 4;
  • draws: 1 vs 1.

Prediction on the over/under

H2H

  • today's home team scores on average - 1.71, the guests - 1.29;
  • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.29;
  • both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.

Statistics: Netherlands U21 vs Ukraine U21

  • average total in the tournament: 3.5 vs 3.5;
  • average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 2;
  • average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 1;
  • average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1;
  • Netherlands U21: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
  • Ukraine U21: average total away in the tournament - 2;
  • last 10 matches (average total): 3 (home - 2.6) vs 1.4 (away - 1.29).
  • Netherlands U21 have conceded in 9 of last 10 games (European Under-21 Championship).
  • Ukraine U21 have scored in 26 of last 28 games.
  • Ukraine U21 have scored in last 7 games (European Under-21 Championship).

Prediction on corners

  • Under 11.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Netherlands U21 games (European Under-21 Championship).
  • Under 11.5 corners in last 7 Netherlands U21 games.
  • Under 11.5 corners in 14 of last 16 Ukraine U21 away games.

Prediction on cards

Netherlands U21: Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1; at home - 1;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.2; at home - 0.2.

Ukraine U21: Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3, away - 4;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.6; away - 0.57.

Prediction on BTTS

H2H:

  • number of encounters – 7;
  • both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
  • on the home team’s field - 1 times.

Statistics: Netherlands U21 vs Ukraine U21

  • number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
  • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 1;
  • number of BTTS matches for Netherlands U21 at home – 1 (100%);
  • number of BTTS matches for Ukraine U21 away – 0 (0%).

Last 10 matches:

  • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
  • BTTS matches for Netherlands U21 at home – 2 (40%);
  • BTTS matches for Ukraine U21 away – 3 (43%).
  • Netherlands U21 have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games (European Under-21 Championship).

Editor's Prediction

After two rounds, the group standings remain tight: the Netherlands have unexpectedly found themselves in third place with just one point, while Ukraine, with three points, hold the second spot. The situation is straightforward — the Dutch need a win, whereas a draw would suffice for the Ukrainians. The Ukrainian side has shown remarkable consistency in attack, scoring in 26 of their last 28 official matches. Even against strong opponents, they manage to find the back of the net. Considering the tournament intrigue and the attacking potential of the nominal visitors, betting on a goal from Ukraine seems justified.

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