🔊 What can we expect from South America's underdogs? Despite their standings in the table, Bolivia still have a shot at competing for seventh place—a position that grants a playoff spot for World Cup qualification. On the other hand, Chile seem out of contention; their gap is too wide, and they are clearly in a slump. The home side are considered favorites by the bookmakers. But what does our editorial team think? Let's dive into the prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 In their 14 head-to-head encounters, Chile hold the upper hand with 11 victories compared to Bolivia's two, alongside one draw. Their most recent clash took place during the first round of World Cup qualifiers. At the "National Stadium" in Santiago, Chile fell to Bolivia (2-1). Apart from veteran Eduardo Vargas, no other Chilean player found the net, while goals for the "Greens" were scored by Carmelo Algaranaz and Miguel Ángel Terceros.
Bolivia Team Overview
🟢 Oscar Villegas' team played their previous match in Venezuela against a direct rival for the seventh spot. The encounter ended in a defeat for the "Greens" (0-2), with none of the visitors managing to find the back of the net.
🔗 As a result, the Bolivians allowed their competitor to pull ahead, significantly reducing their chances of competing in the playoff matches, leaving them in eighth place. After their home game against Chile, the "Greens" will face much tougher opponents—Colombia and Brazil—where picking up points will be even more challenging.
Chile Team Overview
🔴 Ricardo Gareca's "Red Team" narrowly lost their home match against the World Cup champions, Argentina, the leaders of the qualifiers. Chile couldn't find an answer to Julian Alvarez's goal.
🔗 Chile sit at the bottom of the table, trailing by eight points from the seventh spot with just three rounds left in the qualifiers. Given the current state of the team, it's hard to envision them securing nine points in their remaining matches against Bolivia, Brazil, and Uruguay. Even if they manage to do so, the final outcome may not be enough, as much will depend on the results of other teams' matches. It's likely that Chile will miss out on their third consecutive World Cup.
Latest news
Bolivia
💊 There have been no injury reports, so Bolivia are expected to field a full-strength squad for their match against Chile.
Chile
❌ Team captain Arturo Vidal will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
⚽ Goal Prediction
⚽ Goal Prediction
Bolivia have conceded 32 goals in 15 qualifying matches, the worst record among all teams, averaging over two goals per game (2.1). In the same number of matches, Chile have scored only 9 goals, the second-worst result in the qualifiers. On average, the Red team find the back of the net just 0.6 times per match. Given these statistics, a bet on Chile to score comes with an attractive odds.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In the first-round match, Chile significantly outperformed Bolivia in this aspect with 10 corners to Bolivia's 2 on home turf. On average, both teams deliver around 4 corners per match. Considering that both Chile and Bolivia struggle offensively, one can expect a limited number of chances and set-pieces. Betting on total corners under 10.5 seems reasonable and is backed by favorable odds.
The standings, home-field advantage, and the result from the first round all suggest that Bolivia are the favorites in this matchup. However, even if the "Greens" secure a victory, it's unlikely to be a blowout. Despite their struggles, Chile boast a solid lineup with seasoned players who rarely suffer heavy defeats. Therefore, our bet is on Chile to win with a +1.5 handicap.
Editorial Prediction
The standings, home-field advantage, and the result from the first round all suggest that Bolivia are the favorites in this matchup. However, even if the "Greens" secure a victory, it's unlikely to be a blowout. Despite their struggles, Chile boast a solid lineup with seasoned players who rarely suffer heavy defeats. Therefore, our bet is on Chile to win with a +1.5 handicap.
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