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River Plate vs Universitario Pronostico Prediction 28 May 2025
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📢Can Universitario challenge River Plate in the decisive match for a spot in the Copa Libertadores playoffs? The Argentine side are in impressive form, showcasing high-scoring performances in recent games. Their attacking strategy has yielded success, and while their defense isn't flawless, it remains reliable. Meanwhile, Universitario have shown resilience in cup competitions, often keeping opponents from scoring. It will be intriguing to see if the visitors can break through the hosts' defense, or if River Plate will continue their dominant path to victory.

Head-to-Head

The last official encounter between the teams took place on 03 April 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team – Universitario de Deportes):

  • ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
  • corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
  • fouls: 14 vs 17;
  • yellow cards: 6 vs 4;
  • shots on target: 2 vs 4.

📊Officially, the teams River Plate and Universitario de Deportes have played only one match. The meeting took place on 03 April 2025 at the home ground of Universitario de Deportes and ended with a score of 0:1.

River Plate Team Overview

The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team – River Plate , away team – Platense). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

Here's the game statistics (River Plate vs Platense):

  • ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
  • corner kicks: 3 vs 2;
  • fouls: 9 vs 21;
  • yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
  • shots on target: 5 vs 3.

River Plate are one of the top teams in Latin America, boasting a formidable attack. They firmly hold the top spot in the standings thanks to their consistent performances both at home and away. Over their last ten matches, they have secured six victories, averaging 2.5 goals per game. Defensive lapses occasionally lead to conceded goals, but their forwards make up for it with high-scoring efficiency. The team plays aggressively, utilizing ball control effectively to create opportunities in the opponent's box.

Universitario de Deportes Team Overview

The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team – Universitario de Deportes, away – Sporting Cristal). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.

Here are the match stats (Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal):

  • ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
  • corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
  • fouls: 9 vs 4;
  • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
  • shots on target: 3 vs 5.

Universitario, despite holding second place in the standings, deliver mixed results away from their home ground. Their defense is a crucial part of their strategy, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals per game over their last ten Copa Libertadores outings. However, their attack leaves much to be desired, with an average scoring rate of only 0.6 goals per match in the tournament. 

Latest news

River Plate

The team's injury list remains extensive. Agustin Ruberto and Leandro Gonzalez Pirez are sidelined due to knee and muscle injuries, respectively. Additionally, Gonzalo Montiel (hamstring), Gonzalo Martinez (calf), Matias Rojas (tendon), and Maximiliano Meza (ribs) are out. Their absence could impact the squad's depth in upcoming matches.

Universitario de Deportes

The Peruvian club's lineup issues are less extensive but still significant. Horacio Calcaterra has been diagnosed with a contusion, while Jose Rivera is recovering from a muscle injury. Both players are doubtful for the start of the next round.

Prediction on the outcome

H2H:

  • number of encounters – 1;
  • home team wins – 1, away team wins – 0, draws – 0.

Statistics: River Plate vs Universitario de Deportes

  • matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
  • wins: 3 vs 2;
  • win percentage: 60% vs 40%;
  • losses: 0 vs 2;
  • draws: 2 vs 1.

Last 10 matches:

  • wins: 6 vs 6;
  • losses: 1 vs 3;
  • draws: 3 vs 1.
  • Universitario de Deportes won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 games (Copa Libertadores).

Prediction on the over/under

  • River Plate have scored over 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games.

Prediction on corners

River Plate : Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.6; at home field - 7;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 5.

Universitario de Deportes: Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.8, away - 2.5;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 4.
  • Under 8.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Universitario de Deportes away games.
  • Under 8.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Universitario de Deportes games.

Prediction on cards

River Plate : Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.8; at home - 1.5;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; at home - 2.57.

Universitario de Deportes: Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.8, away - 3.5;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 3.

Prediction on BTTS

H2H:

  • number of encounters – 1;
  • both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
  • on the home team’s field - 0 times.

Statistics: River Plate vs Universitario de Deportes

  • number of matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
  • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 1;
  • number of BTTS matches for River Plate at home – 1 (50%);
  • number of BTTS matches for Universitario de Deportes away – 0 (0%).

Last 10 matches:

  • number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 3;
  • BTTS matches for River Plate at home – 5 (71%);
  • BTTS matches for Universitario de Deportes away – 1 (25%).
  • River Plate have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.

Editorial Prediction

River Plate have already secured the top spot in their group and can afford to rotate their squad in the final round. For Universitario, this match is crucial—they need to hold onto second place to advance to the playoffs. The Peruvian side has shown resilience and determination in recent games, covering a +1.5 spread in five consecutive matches. Given the lack of pressure on the hosts and the motivation driving the visitors, betting on a +1.5 spread for Universitario seems a reasonable choice.

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