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Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction 24 May 2025
{by} scores24

Should we expect a cautious encounter in Naples, where Napoli host Cagliari in the final round of Serie A with the backdrop of a potential championship? The home side have remained unbeaten in their last ten matches and are renowned for their solid defense. With an average of 1.54 goals per game, they pose a formidable challenge for the visitors. Meanwhile, Cagliari are striving to secure a mid-table position, but their inconsistent form complicates this goal. The visitors often struggle with defensive issues and face tough outings at the stadiums of strong opponents.

Head-to-Head

Napoli and Cagliari have faced off in 35 official matches recently, with the stats clearly favoring the Neapolitans—19 wins compared to just 4 for Cagliari, while 12 matches ended in a draw. In the first round of the current season, Napoli had no trouble dispatching their opponents on the road with a commanding 4-0 victory, completely controlling the game and leaving Cagliari without any chance of a positive outcome.

Napoli Team Overview

Napoli sit at the top of the standings, thanks to their impressive winning streak, having secured victory in 23 out of 37 matches this season. The team excels on home turf, scoring over 1.5 goals in five consecutive Serie A home matches, showcasing their consistency in front of their fans. Their defense remains a strong point, with an exceptionally low goals-conceded rate of just 0.73 per game. Their most recent encounter with Cagliari ended in a commanding 4-0 victory, boosting their confidence ahead of the upcoming clash.

Cagliari Calcio Team Overview

Cagliari continue their battle for a mid-table spot in Serie A with mixed results, currently sitting in fourteenth place after a series of losses and draws in their last ten matches, managing only three wins. The team's main issue lies in their lack of attacking prowess, averaging just 1.08 goals per game while conceding a high number of goals (1.46). However, the Islanders have the ability to surprise even on the road, often avoiding heavy defeats against stronger opponents.

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Napoli

In the previous round, Napoli surprisingly stumbled in their away match against Parma, ending in a 0-0 draw and missing the chance to pull away from Inter. Despite having the upper hand territorially, Antonio Conte's side couldn't break down the opponent's defense. Late in the game, Napoli missed an opportunity to snatch victory: David Neres won a penalty, but after a VAR review, the referee overturned the decision, and Conte himself was sent off for arguing with the official. Nevertheless, the Neapolitans' head coach remains optimistic. He stated that the team is just one step away from the Scudetto, and they must take that step at home with the support of their fans. The Italian emphasized that the season has been tough and full of challenges, but his team never gave up and now stands on the brink of a historic achievement.

As for Napoli's lineup, four players are doubtful. Alessandro Buongiorno, Juan Jesus, Noah Okafor, and Stanislav Lobotka are dealing with various issues—ranging from groin injuries to muscle problems—and may miss the upcoming match.

Cagliari Calcio

In Serie A's 37th round, Cagliari secured their top-flight status with a decisive 3-0 victory over Venezia at home. Defender Yerry Mina opened the scoring in the 11th minute, and Roberto Piccoli doubled the lead just before halftime. Alessandro Deiola sealed the match with a third goal in the 71st minute. Head coach Davide Nicola couldn't hide his emotions after the final whistle, calling the result a personal achievement. He expressed immense joy at retaining their elite status but reminded that there is one more match ahead where the team must give their all and maintain their dignity.

Cagliari are dealing with some injury setbacks. Gianluca Gaetano is sidelined until July due to a knee injury, while Zito Luvumbo is expected to return from a muscle injury in early June.

Goal Prediction

Goal Prediction

Napoli have stumbled in their last two outings and are determined not to drop points for a third consecutive time, especially with the title race heating up. In the upcoming match, the team will step onto the field with maximum focus and a drive for a positive result. Defensively, Napoli have been solid, keeping clean sheets in 5 of their last 6 games, showcasing organization and discipline. Cagliari, on the other hand, lack motivation in the standings and are unlikely to pose a significant attacking threat. Given the current form of both teams, we are betting on both teams to score (no).

Corner Prediction

Both teams show high activity when it comes to corners. Napoli average 5.4 corners per match, ranking 4th in Serie A, while Cagliari are at 7th with an average of 4.8. Both sides know how to press in the final third, especially Napoli, who need to attack vigorously and take control of this game. In their first-round encounter, the teams combined for 11 corners. Taking all this into account, we are betting on total corners over 9.5.

Editor's Prediction

For Napoli, this is the defining match of their season, and they will aim to secure three points without taking unnecessary risks. Cagliari lack any tournament motivation and are likely to focus on defense, trying to avoid a heavy defeat. Head-to-head encounters at Napoli's ground have traditionally been low-scoring affairs, with under 3.5 goals in six consecutive matches. Considering the importance of the result for the hosts and the pragmatic nature of these meetings, a bet on under 3.5 goals seems reasonable.

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