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France vs Poland Prediction 18 June 2025
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📢 Can France U21 secure a victory in their final group stage match of the UEFA European Under-21 Championship against Poland? The two teams are currently at opposite ends of the form spectrum: the nominal hosts confidently hold the second spot in the standings, while the nominal visitors are already out of contention. The French have been in prolific form, averaging 2.5 goals per game, whereas Poland are actively searching for their rhythm following several setbacks. The strategies of both sides will be crucial: France are renowned for their attacking prowess, while the Polish defense will aim to withstand the onslaught.

Head-to-Head

⚠These teams have never faced each other before.

France U21 Team Overview

The last official match was played on in the UEFA European Under-21 Championship, with France U21 as the nominal home side and Georgia U21 as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-2 victory.

Here's the match statistics (France U21 vs Georgia U21):

  • possession: 60% vs 40%;
  • corners: 7 vs 3;
  • fouls: 12 vs 7;
  • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
  • shots on target: 9 vs 3.

🔵 France U21 are a team in great form, with ambitions to top their group. Known for their attacking style and impressive scoring ability, they boast an average of 2.5 goals per game over their last ten matches while conceding just 0.8. Their current form is promising, with six wins in their last ten official games, making them one of the favorites in the European youth championship.

✅ After two rounds, the France U21 squad has accumulated 4 points—a solid result, especially considering the dramatic turn of events against Georgia in the second round (3-2). Trailing 1-2 until the 89th minute, the French managed to snatch victory by scoring twice in the dying moments. The hero of the match was Villarreal forward Thierno Barry, who netted the winning goal in the 90+12th minute. He could have had a brace, but his goal in the 90+2nd minute was ruled out for offside.

Poland U21 Team Overview

The last official match for the current nominal visitors took place on in the UEFA European Under-21 Championship. The nominal home side was Portugal U21, while the visitors were Poland U21. The match concluded with a 5-0 scoreline.

Here's the game statistics (Poland U21 vs Portugal U21):

  • Possession: 44% vs 56%;
  • Corners: 5 vs 7;
  • Fouls: 12 vs 13;
  • Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
  • Shots on target: 2 vs 8.

⚪ Poland U21 are facing challenges on their road to success, yet their fighting spirit remains unyielding. The Eagles have an average of conceding around three goals per match, making defense their current weak spot. However, their ability to surprise opponents with rapid counterattacks and dangerous set-pieces should not be underestimated. It's through these tactics that the Poles can turn the tide even against formidable adversaries. 

✅ The Poland U21 squad found themselves ill-prepared for the UEFA European Under-21 Championship: after two rounds, they have 0 points and a goal difference of 1:7, with no chances left to advance to the playoffs. In their second match, they suffered a heavy defeat to Portugal (0:5), with goalkeeper Kacper Tobiasz's performance particularly disappointing as he let in several goals at the near post. Clearly, the coaching staff made a misjudgment in selecting the starting goalkeeper—perhaps Kacper Trelowski from Raków, who kept 17 clean sheets in 34 rounds last season, would have been a more reliable choice. It wouldn't be surprising to see him feature in the final group stage match.

Prediction for the 1st half

First Half Statistics: France U21 (Home) vs Poland U21 (Away)

  • Number of matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
  • Number of wins: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
  • Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
  • Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
  • Average total goals scored: 1 vs 4;
  • Average total goals conceded: 0 vs 4.

Last 10 Matches (Overall):

  • Number of wins: 5 vs 2;
  • Number of losses: 2 vs 5;
  • Number of draws: 3 vs 3;
  • Average first half total: 1.2 (scored – 0.9, conceded – 0.3) vs 1.7 (scored – 0.6, conceded – 1.1).
  • France U21 scored in the 1st half in 13 of last 15 home games.

Prediction on the outcome

Statistics: France U21 vs Poland U21

  • matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
  • wins: 1 vs 0;
  • win percentage: 50% vs 0%;
  • losses: 0 vs 2;
  • draws: 1 vs 0.

Last 10 matches:

  • wins: 6 vs 4;
  • losses: 2 vs 5;
  • draws: 2 vs 1.
  • France U21 have won in 13 of last 15 home games.

Prediction on the over/under

  • Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 France U21 games.

Prediction on corners

France U21: Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5; at home field - 7;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8; at home field - 11.6.

Poland U21: Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6, away - 5;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; away - 5.17.
  • Over 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 France U21 home games.

Prediction on cards

France U21: Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.5; at home - 1;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.3; at home - 0.2.

Poland U21: Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.5, away - 1;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1; away - 1.33.

Prediction on BTTS

Statistics: France U21 vs Poland U21

  • number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
  • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 1;
  • number of BTS matches for France U21 at home – 1 (100%);
  • number of BTS matches for Poland U21 away – 0 (0%).

Last 10 matches:

  • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
  • BTTS matches for France U21 at home – 3 (60%);
  • BTTS matches for Poland U21 away – 3 (50%).

Editor's Prediction

France U21 head into the final round with clear motivation: securing a playoff spot by maintaining a top-two finish is at stake. Meanwhile, Poland are out of contention after two defeats, dashing their hopes of advancing further. Despite France's attacking prowess, their matches rarely deliver high-scoring affairs—six of their last seven games have seen no more than three goals scored. Considering the generally low tempo of France's matches and Poland's lack of motivation, a bet on under 3.5 goals seems reasonable.

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